Title
Regression-based evaluation of bicycle flow trend estimates.
Abstract
It has been shown in previous research that regression modeling can be used in order to predict the number of bicycles registered by a bicycle counter. To improve the prediction accuracy, it has also been suggested that a long-term trend curve estimate can be incorporated in a regression problem formulation. A long-term trend curve estimate aims to capture those factors that are difficult, or even impossible, to explicitly model as input variables in the regression model. In the current paper, we present a regression-based approach for evaluating long-term trend curve estimates regarding their possibility to improve the regression prediction accuracy of bicycle counter data. We illustrate our approach by applying it on a time series recorded by a bicycle counter in Malmö, Sweden. For the considered data set, our experimental results indicate that a polynomial of degree two, which has been fitted to the time series, gives the best prediction.
Year
DOI
Venue
2018
10.1016/j.procs.2018.04.073
Procedia Computer Science
Keywords
Field
DocType
Bicycle counter,regression,trend curve,evaluation
Data mining,Polynomial,Regression,Regression analysis,Computer science,Flow (psychology),Regression problems,Statistics
Conference
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
130
1877-0509
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
2
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Johan Holmgren111615.32
Gabriel Moltubakk200.34
Jody O'Neill300.34