Title
On the Risk Assessment of Terrorist Attacks Coupled with Multi-Source Factors.
Abstract
Terrorism has wreaked havoc on today's society and people. The discovery of the regularity of terrorist attacks is of great significance to the global counterterrorism strategy. In this study, we improve the traditional location recommendation algorithm coupled with multi-source factors and spatial characteristics. We used the data of terrorist attacks in Southeast Asia from 1970 to 2016, and comprehensively considered 17 influencing factors, including socioeconomic and natural resource factors. The improved recommendation algorithm is used to build a spatial risk assessment model of terrorist attacks, and the effectiveness is tested. The model trained in this study is tested with precision, recall, and F-Measure. The results show that, when the threshold is 0.4, the precision is as high as 88%, and the F-Measure is the highest. We assess the spatial risk of the terrorist attacks in Southeast Asia through experiments. It can be seen that the southernmost part of the Indochina peninsula and the Philippines are high-risk areas and that the medium-risk and high-risk areas are mainly distributed in the coastal areas. Therefore, future anti-terrorism measures should pay more attention to these areas.
Year
DOI
Venue
2018
10.3390/ijgi7090354
ISPRS INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GEO-INFORMATION
Keywords
Field
DocType
location recommendation algorithm,risk assessment,terrorist attacks,multi-source factors,spatial clustering
Peninsula,Computer security,Terrorism,Risk assessment,Natural resource,Multi-source,Geography,Socioeconomic status
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
7
9
2220-9964
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
0
0.34
2
Authors
6
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Xun Zhang102.03
Min Jin201.69
Jingying Fu310.96
Mengmeng Hao400.34
Chongchong Yu521.73
Xiaolan Xie61165113.61