Title
Comparison and Sensitivity Analysis of Methods for Solar PV Power Prediction.
Abstract
The variable nature of solar power output from PhotoVoltaic (PV) systems is the main obstacle for penetration of such power into the electricity grid. Thus, numerous methods have been proposed in the literature to construct forecasting models. In this paper, we present a comprehensive comparison of a set of prominent methods that utilize weather prediction for future. Firstly, we evaluate the prediction accuracy of widely used Neural Network (NN), Support Vector Regression (SVR), k-Nearest Neighbours (kNN), Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), and two persistent methods using four data sets for 2 years. We then analyze the sensitivities of their prediction accuracy to 10–25% possible error in the future weather prediction obtained from the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM). Results demonstrate that ensemble of NNs is the most promising method and achieves substantial improvement in accuracy over other prediction methods.
Year
DOI
Venue
2018
10.1007/978-3-030-04503-6_32
PAKDD
Field
DocType
Citations 
Data mining,Data set,Weather prediction,Regression,Computer science,Support vector machine,Solar power,Artificial intelligence,Artificial neural network,Photovoltaic system,Machine learning,Linear regression
Conference
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
2
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Mashud Rana100.34
Ashfaqur Rahman217726.70
Liwan H. Liyanage3363.39
Mohammed Nazim Uddin400.34