Title
Financial Markets Prediction with Deep Learning
Abstract
Financial markets are difficult to predict due to its complex systems dynamics. Although there have been some recent studies that use machine learning techniques for financial markets prediction, they do not offer satisfactory performance on financial returns. We propose a novel one-dimensional convolutional neural networks (CNN) model to predict financial market movement. The customized one-dimensional convolutional layers scan financial trading data through time, while different types of data, such as prices and volume, share parameters (kernels) with each other. Our model automatically extracts features instead of using traditional technical indicators and thus can avoid biases caused by selection of technical indicators and pre-defined coefficients in technical indicators. We evaluate the performance of our prediction model with strictly backtesting on historical trading data of six futures from January 2010 to October 2017. The experiment results show that our CNN model can effectively extract more generalized and informative features than traditional technical indicators, and achieves more robust and profitable financial performance than previous machine learning approaches.
Year
DOI
Venue
2018
10.1109/ICMLA.2018.00022
2018 17th IEEE International Conference on Machine Learning and Applications (ICMLA)
Keywords
Field
DocType
Deep learning, convolutional neural networks, Finance.
Kernel (linear algebra),Convolutional neural network,Computer science,Futures contract,Support vector machine,Feature extraction,Data type,Artificial intelligence,Deep learning,Financial market,Machine learning
Conference
ISBN
Citations 
PageRank 
978-1-5386-6806-1
1
0.39
References 
Authors
5
5
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Jia Wang17917.75
Tong Sun2146.58
Benyuan Liu31534101.09
Yu Cao410014.01
De-Gang Wang5617.83