Title
Non-Factorised Variational Inference in Dynamical Systems.
Abstract
We focus on variational inference in dynamical systems where the discrete time transition function (or evolution rule) is modelled by a Gaussian process. The dominant approach so far has been to use a factorised posterior distribution, decoupling the transition function from the system states. This is not exact in general and can lead to an overconfident posterior over the transition function as well as an overestimation of the intrinsic stochasticity of the system (process noise). We propose a new method that addresses these issues and incurs no additional computational costs.
Year
Venue
DocType
2018
arXiv: Machine Learning
Journal
Volume
Citations 
PageRank 
abs/1812.06067
0
0.34
References 
Authors
0
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Alessandro Davide Ialongo101.01
Mark van der Wilk211.02
James Hensman326520.05
carl edward rasmussen42628309.77