Title
Degenerate Kalman Filter Error Covariances and Their Convergence onto the Unstable Subspace
Abstract
The characteristics of the model dynamics are critical in the performance of (ensemble) Kalman filters. In particular, as emphasized in the seminal work of Anna Trevisan and coauthors, the error covariance matrix is asymptotically supported by the unstable-neutral subspace only, i.e., it is spanned by the backward Lyapunov vectors with nonnegative exponents. This behavior is at the core of algorithms known as assimilation in the unstable subspace, although a formal proof was still missing. This paper provides the analytical proof of the convergence of the Kalman filter covariance matrix onto the unstable-neutral subspace when the dynamics and the observation operator are linear and when the dynamical model is error free, for any, possibly rank-deficient, initial error covariance matrix. The rate of convergence is provided as well. The derivation is based on an expression that explicitly relates the error covariances at an arbitrary time to the initial ones. It is also shown that if the unstable and neutral directions of the model are sufficiently observed and if the column space of the initial covariance matrix has a nonzero projection onto all of the forward Lyapunov vectors associated with the unstable and neutral directions of the dynamics, the covariance matrix of the Kalman filter collapses onto an asymptotic sequence which is independent of the initial covariances. Numerical results are also shown to illustrate and support the theoretical findings.
Year
DOI
Venue
2017
10.1137/16M1068712
SIAM-ASA JOURNAL ON UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION
Keywords
Field
DocType
Kalman filter,data assimilation,linear dynamics,Lyapunov vectors,control theory,covariance matrix
Applied mathematics,Extended Kalman filter,Fast Kalman filter,Subspace topology,Control theory,Covariance intersection,Kalman filter,Covariance matrix,Ensemble Kalman filter,Invariant extended Kalman filter,Mathematics
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
5
1
2166-2525
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
2
0.47
1
Authors
6
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Marc Bocquet15913.17
karthik s gurumoorthy25210.09
Amit Apte341.57
Alberto Carrassi441.91
Colin Grudzien521.14
Christopher K. R. T. Jones641.57