Title
A joint particle filter and expectation maximization approach to machine condition prognosis
Abstract
This paper presents a probabilistic model based approach for machinery condition prognosis based on particle filter by integrating physical knowledge with in-process measurements into a state space framework to account for uncertainty and nonlinearity in machinery degradation process. One limitation of conventional particle filter is that condition prognosis is performed based on the model with predetermined parameters obtained from simulation studies or lab-controlled tests. Due to the stochastic nature of machinery defect propagation under varying operating conditions, model parameters may vary in practice which causes prediction errors. To address it, an integrated state prediction and parameter estimation framework based on particle filter and expectation-maximization algorithm is formulated and investigated. The model parameters are adaptively estimated based on expectation-maximization algorithm utilizing hidden degradation state and available in-process measurements. Particle filter is then performed on the identified model with estimated parameters following Bayesian inference scheme to improve the robustness and accuracy of machinery condition prognosis. The effectiveness of the developed method is demonstrated through a simulation study and an experimental run-to-failure bearing test in a wind turbine.
Year
DOI
Venue
2019
10.1007/s10845-016-1268-0
Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing
Keywords
Field
DocType
Machinery condition prognosis, Particle filter, Parameter estimation, Expectation-maximization
Mathematical optimization,Nonlinear system,Bayesian inference,Expectation–maximization algorithm,Particle filter,Robustness (computer science),Statistical model,Estimation theory,Engineering,State space
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
30
2
1572-8145
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
1
0.34
15
Authors
5
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
jinjiang wang1897.64
Robert X. Gao238739.94
Zhuang Yuan310.34
Zhaoyan Fan4154.11
Laibin Zhang59515.52