Title
Experimental Design for Nonparametric Correction of Misspecified Dynamical Models
Abstract
We consider a class of misspecified dynamical models where the governing term is only approximately known. Under the assumption that observations of the system's evolution are accessible for various initial conditions, our goal is to infer a nonparametric correction to the misspecified driving term such as to faithfully represent the system dynamics and devise system evolution predictions for unobserved initial conditions. We model the unknown correction term as a Gaussian Process and analyze the problem of efficient experimental design to find an optimal correction term under constraints such as a limited experimental budget. We suggest a novel formulation for experimental design for this Gaussian Process and show that approximately optimal (up to a constant factor) designs may be efficiently derived by utilizing results from the literature on submodular optimization. Our numerical experiments exemplify the effectiveness of these techniques.
Year
DOI
Venue
2018
10.1137/17M1128435
SIAM-ASA JOURNAL ON UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION
Keywords
DocType
Volume
model misspecification,dynamical systems,experimental design,submodularity,Gaussian processes
Journal
6
Issue
ISSN
Citations 
2
2166-2525
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
4
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Gal Shulkind161.55
Lior Horesh2226.04
Avron, Haim331628.52