Title
Prediction of mutual fund net value based on data mining model
Abstract
Unlike the previous study, an optimized neutral model, a new evolutionary calculation method, is applied in this study to predict the net value of domestic mutual funds. Firstly, 17 open-end balanced stock funds data will be collected from domestic securities companies’ websites. Funds with the technical efficiency value of 1 will be selected as investment targets to analyze fund performance by using data envelopment analysis. Then, the mutual fund net worth prediction model is built by various new data mining methods including Backpropagation Neural Network and GABPN, and the forecasting ability is compared with the traditional regression model. We can understand the pros and cons of these fund forecasting models after using five kinds of forecast performance evaluation indicators and analyzing rate of return, and the result of which is available for reference to researchers and investors as an investment strategy.
Year
DOI
Venue
2019
10.1007/s10586-018-2272-2
Cluster Computing
Keywords
DocType
Volume
Backpropagation Neural Network, GABPN, Decision tree, Data envelopment analysis, Mutual fund
Journal
22
Issue
ISSN
Citations 
Supplement
1573-7543
5
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.73
2
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Wen-Tsao Pan150.73
Shi-Zhuan Han250.73
Hui-Ling Yang350.73
Xue-ying Chen451.07