Title
Probabilistic Solutions To Ordinary Differential Equations As Non-Linear Bayesian Filtering: A New Perspective.
Abstract
We formulate probabilistic numerical approximations to solutions of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) as problems in Gaussian process (GP) regression with nonlinear measurement functions. This is achieved by defining the measurement sequence to consist of the observations of the difference between the derivative of the GP and the vector field evaluated at the GP—which are all identically zero at the solution of the ODE. When the GP has a state-space representation, the problem can be reduced to a nonlinear Bayesian filtering problem and all widely used approximations to the Bayesian filtering and smoothing problems become applicable. Furthermore, all previous GP-based ODE solvers that are formulated in terms of generating synthetic measurements of the gradient field come out as specific approximations. Based on the nonlinear Bayesian filtering problem posed in this paper, we develop novel Gaussian solvers for which we establish favourable stability properties. Additionally, non-Gaussian approximations to the filtering problem are derived by the particle filter approach. The resulting solvers are compared with other probabilistic solvers in illustrative experiments.
Year
DOI
Venue
2019
10.1007/s11222-019-09900-1
Statistics and Computing
Keywords
DocType
Volume
Probabilistic numerics, Initial value problems, Nonlinear Bayesian filtering
Journal
29
Issue
ISSN
Citations 
6
0960-3174
1
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.39
0
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Filip Tronarp185.65
Hans Kersting210.39
Simo Särkkä362366.52
Philipp Hennig420326.68