Title
Trajectory Prediction For Ocean Vessels Base On K-Order Multivariate Markov Chain
Abstract
Trajectory prediction is a key problem in MDTN (Mobile Delay Tolerant Network). Because Vessel's moving pattern is in free space and easily influenced by the fish moratorium, tide, weather, etc., it brings new challenges in free-space vessel trajectory prediction. In addition, the trajectory characteristics of a vessel are different from that on land, causing traditional trajectory prediction method can't be directly used in ocean domain. To solve the problem above, we propose a novel trajectory prediction algorithm for ocean vessel called TPOV. We utilize k-order multivariate Markov Chain and multiple sailing related parameters to build state-transition matrixes. Through simulations and experiments on two-year trajectory data of two thousand vessels, we provide quantitative analysis of the proposed strategy. The results show that TPOV has high precision prediction with a minor error.
Year
DOI
Venue
2018
10.1007/978-3-319-94268-1_12
WIRELESS ALGORITHMS, SYSTEMS, AND APPLICATIONS (WASA 2018)
Keywords
Field
DocType
Vessel trajectory prediction, Entropy analysis, Marine IoT, Ocean MDTN, K-order Markov Chain
Delay-tolerant networking,Multivariate statistics,Matrix (mathematics),Computer science,Markov chain,Algorithm,Free space,Trajectory,Distributed computing
Conference
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
10874
0302-9743
1
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
8
6
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Shuai Guo113.05
Chao Liu2107.00
Zhongwen Guo311613.32
Yuan Feng4123.13
Feng Hong524325.00
Haiguang Huang651.49