Title
Improving Predictive Modeling for At-Risk Student Identification: A Multistage Approach
Abstract
Performance prediction is a leading topic in learning analytics research due to its potential to impact all tiers of education. This study proposes a novel predictive modeling method to address the research gaps in existing performance prediction research. The gaps addressed include: the lack of existing research focus on performance prediction rather than identifying key performance factors; the lack of common predictors identified for both K-12 and higher education environments; and the misplaced focus on absolute engagement levels rather than relative engagement levels. Two datasets, one from higher education and the other from a K-12 online school with 13 368 students in more than 300 courses, were applied using the predictive modeling technique. The results showed the newly suggested approach had higher overall accuracy and sensitivity rates than the traditional approach. In addition, two generalizable predictors were identified from instruction-intensive and discussion-intensive courses.
Year
DOI
Venue
2019
10.1109/TLT.2019.2911072
IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies
Keywords
Field
DocType
Predictive models,Input variables,Brain modeling,Analytical models,Educational technology,Bibliographies
Educational technology,Learning analytics,Computer science,Knowledge management,At-risk students,Learner engagement,Performance prediction,Higher education
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
12
2
1939-1382
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
2
0.36
0
Authors
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Jui-Long Hung1848.76
Brett E. Shelton221.04
Juan Yang35210.70
Xu Du43715.92