Title
An Adaptive Remaining Useful Life Estimation Approach for Newly Developed System Based on Nonlinear Degradation Model.
Abstract
As the central component of prognostic and health management (PHM) field, remaining useful life (RUL) estimation approaches based on degradation modeling have played an extremely significant role in recent years. For the newly developed systems working in complex environments, the associated degradation processes not only lack historical data and prior information but also have strong nonlinearity and three-source variability. Therefore, this paper proposes an adaptive RUL estimation approach for the newly developed system based on a nonlinear model. Specifically, a general nonlinear Wiener-process-based degradation model is established to simultaneously characterize three-source variability and nonlinearity, and the associated RUL distribution is derived with an explicit form. In order to utilize the condition monitoring (CM) data of the service system up to date, we present a parameter estimation method based on the expectation maximization algorithm to adaptively estimate and update the model parameters online. As such, the RUL distribution can be updated once the new CM data are available. Finally, the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed method are demonstrated by the numerical example an empirical study for battery data. The results show that the proposed method can provide accurate and robust RUL prediction for the newly developed system.
Year
DOI
Venue
2019
10.1109/ACCESS.2019.2924148
IEEE ACCESS
Keywords
Field
DocType
Remaining useful life,nonlinear,three-source variability,battery,prognostic and health management
Data mining,Data modeling,Nonlinear system,Prognostics,Expectation–maximization algorithm,Computer science,Service system,Stochastic process,Condition monitoring,Estimation theory,Distributed computing
Journal
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
7
2169-3536
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
0
5
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Xi Wang100.34
C. H. Chang242836.69
Xiao-Sheng Si362346.17
Zhenan Pang473.50
Ziqiang Ren500.34