Title
An SVR-based Building-level Load Forecasting Method Considering Impact of HVAC Set Points
Abstract
This paper focuses on a technique to determine the impact of HVAC set point adjustments on building-level electrical load (kW) utilizing Support Vector Regression (SVR) with the minimum possible set of input variables. The paper uses two SVR-based forecasting methods, namely single-step and recursive models. These models are used to forecast hourly electrical loads of a commercial building in Chicago area for the summer period from 8AM to 8PM. The model accuracy is observed to be higher than 95% for hour-ahead load forecasts, and higher than 93% for 12-hour ahead load forecasts. The models presented in the paper can be used to quantify the reduction in electrical load (kW) based on HVAC set point adjustments during peak hours in buildings.
Year
DOI
Venue
2019
10.1109/ISGT.2019.8791649
2019 IEEE Power & Energy Society Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Conference (ISGT)
Keywords
Field
DocType
load forecasting,SVR,regression model,machine learning,demand response
Electrical load,Regression analysis,Computer science,HVAC,Support vector machine,Demand response,Load forecasting,Recursion,Reliability engineering
Conference
ISSN
ISBN
Citations 
2167-9665
978-1-5386-8233-3
1
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.35
0
7