Title
A Framework for Airfare Price Prediction: A Machine Learning Approach
Abstract
The price of an airline ticket is affected by a number of factors, such as flight distance, purchasing time, fuel price, etc. Each carrier has its own proprietary rules and algorithms to set the price accordingly. Recent advance in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) makes it possible to infer such rules and model the price variation. This paper proposes a novel application based on two public data sources in the domain of air transportation: the Airline Origin and Destination Survey (DB1B) and the Air Carrier Statistics database (T-100). The proposed framework combines the two databases, together with macroeconomic data, and uses machine learning algorithms to model the quarterly average ticket price based on different origin and destination pairs, as known as the market segment. The framework achieves a high prediction accuracy with 0.869 adjusted R squared score on the testing dataset.
Year
DOI
Venue
2019
10.1109/IRI.2019.00041
2019 IEEE 20th International Conference on Information Reuse and Integration for Data Science (IRI)
Keywords
Field
DocType
machine learning,airfare price,DB1B,T-100,prediction model
Data mining,Data modeling,Market segmentation,Computer science,Aviation,Ticket,Feature extraction,Artificial intelligence,Purchasing,Machine learning,Price prediction
Conference
ISBN
Citations 
PageRank 
978-1-7281-1338-8
1
0.36
References 
Authors
0
7
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Tianyi Wang129427.78
Samira Pouyanfar214113.06
Haiman Tian3878.99
Yudong Tao47510.86
Miguel Alonso510.36
Steven Luis6674.13
Shu-Ching Chen71978182.74