Title
A short-term traffic forecasting model based on echo state network optimized by improved fruit fly optimization algorithm
Abstract
Short-term traffic forecasting is an important part of contemporary intelligent transportation systems. In this paper, based on echo state network optimized by improved fruit fly optimization algorithm (ESN-IFOA), a model is proposed to provide a five-minute forecast of traffic volume. In IFOA, parallel searching strategy and uniform crossover operator are applied to enhance searching range and communication between swarms. Simultaneously, the source allocation strategy is proposed to calculate the number of fruit flies generated by each swarm in the next iteration. The five main parameters of ESN are optimized by the proposed IFOA. Massive of prediction results and algorithm comparisons demonstrates that ESN-IFOA has very good forecasting ability for the five-minutes forecast of traffic volume.
Year
DOI
Venue
2020
10.1016/j.neucom.2019.02.062
Neurocomputing
Keywords
DocType
Volume
Short-term traffic forecasting,Echo state network,Fruit fly optimization algorithm,Rource allocation,Parallel searching,Uniform crossover operator
Journal
416
ISSN
Citations 
PageRank 
0925-2312
0
0.34
References 
Authors
0
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Qingyong Zhang100.68
Hao Qian200.34
Yuepeng Chen300.34
De-ming Lei417618.60