Title
Building Electrical Load Forecasting through Neural Network Models with Exogenous Inputs
Abstract
As buildings become key actors in the economic and sustainable operation of future electrical grids and smart cities, reliable models which capture the underlying electrical energy consumption become an important factor for robust control algorithms. Current ubiquitous field devices supported by complex data infrastructures allow generation, storage and online analysis of large quantities of data for deriving usable black-box models of building energy patterns. The paper presents an approach to model the energy consumption of medium and large sized buildings using Non-linear Autoregressive Neural Networks with eXogenous Input (NARX). We show that the chosen network architectures offers good performance for time series prediction from historical values and external input signals such as outdoor temperature in comparison to a baseline approach. Model evaluation and validation are carried out on public dataset for replicable research outcomes.
Year
DOI
Venue
2019
10.1109/ICSTCC.2019.8885964
2019 23rd International Conference on System Theory, Control and Computing (ICSTCC)
Keywords
Field
DocType
neural networks,computational intelligence,smart buildings,energy forecasting
Data modeling,Time series,Nonlinear autoregressive exogenous model,Electrical load,Computer science,Network architecture,Control engineering,Artificial neural network,Robust control,Energy consumption
Conference
ISSN
ISBN
Citations 
2372-1618
978-1-7281-0700-4
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
3
5
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Cristina Nichiforov101.01
Grigore Stamatescu22915.36
Iulia Stamatescu366.57
Ioana Fagarasan4289.02
Sergiu Iliescu564.66