Title
A Data-Driven Approach for Accurate Rainfall Prediction
Abstract
In recent years, there has been growing interest in using precipitable water vapor (PWV) derived from global positioning system (GPS) signal delays to predict rainfall. However, the occurrence of rainfall is dependent on a myriad of atmospheric parameters. This paper proposes a systematic approach to analyze various parameters that affect precipitation in the atmosphere. Different ground-based weather features such as <italic xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">Temperature</italic> , <italic xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">Relative Humidity</italic> , <italic xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">Dew Point</italic> , <italic xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">Solar Radiation</italic> , <italic xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">PWV</italic> along with <italic xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">Seasonal</italic> and <italic xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">Diurnal</italic> variables are identified, and a detailed feature correlation study is presented. While all features play a significant role in rainfall <italic xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">classification</italic> , only a few of them, such as <italic xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">PWV</italic> , <italic xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">Solar Radiation</italic> , <italic xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">Seasonal</italic> , and <italic xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">Diurnal</italic> features, stand out for rainfall <italic xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">prediction</italic> . Based on these findings, an optimum set of features are used in a data-driven machine learning algorithm for rainfall prediction. The experimental evaluation using a 4-year (2012–2015) database shows a true detection rate of 80.4%, a false alarm rate of 20.3%, and an overall accuracy of 79.6%. Compared to the existing literature, our method significantly reduces the false alarm rates.
Year
DOI
Venue
2019
10.1109/TGRS.2019.2926110
IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing
Keywords
Field
DocType
Global Positioning System,Delays,Rain,Mathematical model,Support vector machines,Numerical models
Meteorology,Atmosphere,False alarm,Support vector machine,Remote sensing,Relative humidity,Global Positioning System,Constant false alarm rate,Mathematics,Precipitation,Dew point
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
57
11
0196-2892
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
1
0.42
0
Authors
5
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Shilpa Manandhar143.05
Soumyabrata Dev26213.94
Yee Hui Lee3103.78
Yu Song Meng4288.62
Stefan Winkler521621.60