Title
Prediction of Blood Glucose Concentration for Type 1 Diabetes Based on Echo State Networks Embedded with Incremental Learning
Abstract
Valid prediction of blood glucose concentration can help people to manage diabetes mellitus, alert hypoglycemia/hyperglycemia, exploit artificial pancreas, and plan a treatment program. Along the development of continuous glucose monitoring system (CGMS), the massive historical data require a new modeling framework based on a data-driven perspective. Studies indicate that the glucose time series (i.e., CGMS readings) involve chaotic properties; therefore, echo state networks (ESN) and its improved variants are proposed to establish subject-specific prediction models owing to their superiority in processing chaotic systems. This study mainly has two innovations: (1) a novel combination of incremental learning and ESN is developed to obtain a suitable network structure through partial optimization of parameters; (2) a feedback ESN is proposed to excavate the relationship of different predictions. These methods are assessed on ten patients with diabetes mellitus. Experimental results substantiate that the proposed methods achieve superior prediction performance in terms of four evaluation metrics compared with three conventional methods.
Year
DOI
Venue
2020
10.1016/j.neucom.2019.10.003
Neurocomputing
Keywords
Field
DocType
Blood glucose prediction,Continuous glucose monitoring systems (CGMS),Echo state networks (ESN),Incremental learning,Feedback network
Incremental learning,Artificial intelligence,Type 1 diabetes,Machine learning,Mathematics
Journal
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
378
0925-2312
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
0
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Ning Li100.34
Jianyong Tuo200.34
Youqing Wang322025.81
Menghui Wang400.68