Title
A Deep Neural Network Application for Improved Prediction of <inline-formula><tex-math notation="LaTeX">$\text{HbA}_{\text{1c}}$</tex-math></inline-formula> in Type 1 Diabetes
Abstract
HbA <sub xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">1c</sub> is a primary marker of long-term average blood glucose, which is an essential measure of successful control in type 1 diabetes. Previous studies have shown that HbA <sub xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">1c</sub> estimates can be obtained from 5-12 weeks of daily blood glucose measurements. However, these methods suffer from accuracy limitations when applied to incomplete data with missing periods of measurements. The aim of this article is to overcome these limitations improving the accuracy and robustness of HbA <sub xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">1c</sub> prediction from time series of blood glucose. A novel datadriven HbA <sub xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">1c</sub> prediction model based on deep learning and convolutional neural networks is presented. The model focuses on the extraction of behavioral patterns from sequences of self-monitored blood glucose readings on various temporal scales. Assuming that subjects who share behavioral patterns have also similar capabilities for diabetes control and resulting HbA <sub xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">1c</sub> , it becomes possible to infer the HbA <sub xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">1c</sub> of subjects with incomplete data from multiple observations of similar behaviors. Trained and validated on a dataset, containing 1543 real world observation epochs from 759 subjects, the model has achieved the mean absolute error of 4.80 ± 0.62 mmol/mol, median absolute error of 3.81 ± 0.58 mmol/mol and R <sup xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">2</sup> of 0.71 ± 0.09 on average during the 10 fold cross validation. Automatic behavioral characterization via extraction of sequential features by the proposed convolutional neural network structure has significantly improved the accuracy of HbA <sub xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">1c</sub> prediction compared to the existing methods.
Year
DOI
Venue
2020
10.1109/JBHI.2020.2967546
IEEE Journal of Biomedical and Health Informatics
Keywords
DocType
Volume
Adult,Aged,Deep Learning,Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1,Diagnosis, Computer-Assisted,Female,Glycated Hemoglobin A,Humans,Male,Middle Aged
Journal
24
Issue
ISSN
Citations 
10
2168-2194
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
0
6
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Aleksandr Zaitcev100.34
Mohammad R Eissa201.69
Zheng Hui300.34
Tim Good41128.79
Jackie Elliott501.69
M. Benaissa693.47