Title
Modeling Engagement Dynamics of Online Discussions using Relativistic Gravitational Theory
Abstract
Online discussions are valuable resources to study user behaviour on a diverse set of topics. Unlike previous studies which model a discussion in a static manner, in the present study, we model it as a time-varying process and solve two inter-related problems - predict which user groups will get engaged with an ongoing discussion, and forecast the growth rate of a discussion in terms of the number of comments. We propose RGNet (Relativistic Gravitational Nerwork), a novel algorithm that uses Einstein Field Equations of gravity to model online discussions as 'cloud of dust' hovering over a user spacetime manifold, attracting users of different groups at different rates over time. We also propose GUVec, a global user embedding method for an online discussion, which is used by RGNet to predict temporal user engagement. RGNet leverages different textual and network-based features to learn the dust distribution for discussions. We employ four baselines - first two using LSTM architecture, third one using Newtonian model of gravity, and fourth one using a logistic regression adopted from a previous work on engagement prediction. Experiments on Reddit dataset show that RGNet achieves 0.72 Micro F1 score and 6.01% average error for temporal engagement prediction of user groups and growth rate forecasting, respectively, outperforming all the baselines significantly. We further employ RGNet to predict non-temporal engagement - whether users will comment to a given post or not. RGNet achieves 0.62 AUC for this task, outperforming existing baseline by 8.77% AUC.
Year
DOI
Venue
2019
10.1109/ICDM.2019.00028
2019 IEEE International Conference on Data Mining (ICDM)
Keywords
Field
DocType
Engagement modeling,General Theory of Relativity,Online discussion platform
F1 score,Embedding,Computer science,Spacetime,Baseline (configuration management),General relativity,Artificial intelligence,Gravitation,Online discussion,Machine learning,Cloud computing
Conference
ISSN
ISBN
Citations 
1550-4786
978-1-7281-4605-8
1
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.36
15
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Subhabrata Dutta132.06
D. Das271776.14
Tanmoy Chakraborty346676.71