Title
Hypotheses Analysis and Assessment in Counterterrorism Activities: A Method Based on OWA and Fuzzy Probabilistic Rough Sets
Abstract
This article presents a new interactive method to analyze and assess hypotheses, and its application to terrorism events. The method combines probability, fuzzy, and rough set theories and supports decision makers and analysts of counterterrorism in the analysis of intelligence information by using behavioral models of known terrorist groups. Starting from intelligence information about possible attack patterns, the proposed method uses two parameters allowing derivation and analysis of a wide range of hypotheses, and their assessment on the basis of different support levels of evidence. The evaluation of results has been done on real data relating to five years (2012–2016) of terrorist activities extracted from the Global Terrorism Database.
Year
DOI
Venue
2020
10.1109/TFUZZ.2019.2955047
IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems
Keywords
DocType
Volume
Rough sets,Terrorism,Probabilistic logic,Open wireless architecture,Probability distribution,Weapons,Bayes methods
Journal
28
Issue
ISSN
Citations 
5
1063-6706
4
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.38
13
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Hamido Fujita12644185.03
angelo gaeta214015.70
Vincenzo Loia31792148.86
Francesco Orciuoli433538.75