Title
Sound Over-Approximation of Probabilities
Abstract
Safety analysis of high confidence systems requires guaranteed bounds on the probability of events of interest. Establishing the correctness of algorithms that compute such bounds is challenging. We address this problem in three steps. First, we use monadic transition systems (MTS) in the category of sets as a general framework for modeling discrete time systems. MTS can capture different types of system behaviors, but here we focus on a combination of non-deterministic and probabilistic behaviors that arises often when modeling complex systems. Second, we use the category of posets and monotonic maps as general setting to define and compare approximations. In particular, for the MTS of interest, we consider approximations of their configurations based on complete lattices of interval probabilities. Third, we obtain an algorithm that computes over-approximations of system configurations after a finite number of steps, by restricting to finite lattices.
Year
DOI
Venue
2020
10.14232/actacyb.24.3.2020.2
Acta Cybern.
Keywords
DocType
Volume
probabilities,approximation,intervals,monads
Journal
24
Issue
ISSN
Citations 
3
0324-721X
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
0
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Eugenio Moggi11406141.08
Walid Taha2102070.41
Johan Thunberg313819.15