Title
A Hybrid Landslide Displacement Prediction Method Based on CEEMD and DTW-ACO-SVR-Cases Studied in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area.
Abstract
Accurately predicting the surface displacement of the landslide is important and necessary. However, most of the existing research has ignored the frequency component of inducing factors and how it affects the landslide deformation. Therefore, a hybrid displacement prediction model based on time series theory and various intelligent algorithms was proposed in this paper to study the effect of frequency components. Firstly, the monitoring displacement of landslide from the Three Gorges Reservoir area (TGRA) was decomposed into the trend and periodic components by complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD). The trend component can be predicted by the least square method. Then, time series of inducing factors like rainfall and reservoir level was reconstructed into high frequency components and low frequency components with CEEMD andt-test, respectively. The dominant factors were selected by the method of dynamic time warping (DTW) from the frequency components and other common factors (e.g., current monthly rainfall). Finally, the ant colony optimization-based support vector machine regression (ACO-SVR) is utilized for prediction purposes in the TGRA. The results demonstrate that after considering the frequency components of landslide-induced factors, the accuracy of the displacement prediction model based on ACO-SVR is better than that of other models based on SVR and GA-SVR.
Year
DOI
Venue
2020
10.3390/s20154287
SENSORS
Keywords
DocType
Volume
landslide displacement,hybrid prediction model,complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD),dynamic time warping (DTW),ant colony optimization (ACO),support vector regression (SVR)
Journal
20
Issue
ISSN
Citations 
15
1424-8220
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
0
8
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Junrong Zhang100.68
Huiming Tang25713.06
Tao Wen300.68
Junwei Ma400.34
Qinwen Tan500.34
Ding Xia600.68
Xiao Liu700.34
Yongquan Zhang800.34