Title
Choosing news topics to explain stock market returns.
Abstract
We analyze methods for selecting topics in news articles to explain stock returns. We find, through empirical and theoretical results, that supervised Latent Dirichlet Allocation (sLDA) implemented through Gibbs sampling in a stochastic EM algorithm will often overfit returns to the detriment of the topic model. We obtain better out-of-sample performance through a random search of plain LDA models. A branching procedure that reinforces effective topic assignments often performs best. We test methods on an archive of over 90,000 news articles about S&P 500 firms.
Year
DOI
Venue
2020
10.1145/3383455.3422557
ICAIF
DocType
Citations 
PageRank 
Conference
0
0.34
References 
Authors
0
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Paul Glasserman149695.86
Kriste Krstovski200.68
Paul Laliberte300.34
Harry Mamaysky400.34