Paper Info
Title
COVID-19 Time Series Forecast Using Transmission Rate and Meteorological Parameters as Features
Abstract
The number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 has been ever increasing worldwide since its outbreak in Wuhan, China. As such, many researchers have sought to predict the dynamics of the virus spread in different parts of the globe. In this paper, a novel systematic platform for prediction of the future number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 is proposed, based on several factors such as transmission rate, temperature, and humidity. The proposed strategy derives systematically a set of appropriate features for training Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN). To that end, the number of confirmed cases (CC) of COVID-19 in three states of India (Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu and Gujarat) is taken as a case study. It has been noted that stationary and nonstationary parts of the features improved the prediction of the stationary and non-stationary trends of the number of confirmed cases, respectively. The new platform has general application and can be used for pandemic time series forecasting.
Year
DOI
Venue
2020
10.1109/MCI.2020.3019895
IEEE Computational Intelligence Magazine
Keywords
DocType
Volume
COVID-19, Time series analysis, Recurrent neural networks, Temperature measurement, Systematics, Globalization, India, China, Pandemics, Predictive models
Journal
15
Issue
ISSN
Citations 
4
1556-603X
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
6
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Mohsen Mousavi100.34
Rohit Salgotra200.34
Damien Holloway300.34
Amir Hossein Gandomi41836110.25