Title
Modeling Monthly Streamflow In Mountainous Basin By Mars, Gmdh-Nn And Denfis Using Hydroclimatic Data
Abstract
Accurate estimation of streamflow has a vital importance in water resources engineering, management and planning. In the present study, the abilities of group method of data handling-neural networks (GMDH-NN), dynamic evolving neural-fuzzy inference system (DENFIS) and multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS) methods are investigated for monthly streamflow prediction. Precipitation, temperature and streamflows from Kalam and Chakdara stations at Swat River basin (mountainous basin), Pakistan, are used as inputs to the applied models in the form of different input scenarios, and models' performances are evaluated on the basis of root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) and combined accuracy (CA) indexes. Test results of the Kalam Station show that the DENFIS model provides more accurate prediction results in comparison of GMDH-NN and MARS models with the lowest RMSE (18.9 m(3)/s), MAE (13.1 m(3)/s), CA (10.6 m(3)/s) and the highest NSE (0.941). For the Chakdara Station, the MARS outperforms the GMDH-NN and DENFIS models with the lowest RMSE (47.5 m(3)/s), MAE (31.6 m(3)/s), CA (26.1 m(3)/s) and the highest NSE (0.905). Periodicity (month number of the year) effect on models' accuracies in predicting monthly streamflow is also examined. Obtained results demonstrate that the periodicity improves the models' accuracies in general but not necessarily in every case. In addition, the results also show that the monthly streamflow could be successfully predicted using only precipitation and temperature variables as inputs.
Year
DOI
Venue
2021
10.1007/s00521-020-05164-3
NEURAL COMPUTING & APPLICATIONS
Keywords
DocType
Volume
Streamflow prediction, Mountainous basin, Group method of data handling-neural networks, Dynamic evolving neural-fuzzy inference system, Multivariate adaptive regression spline
Journal
33
Issue
ISSN
Citations 
7
0941-0643
1
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.36
0
5
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Rana Muhammad Adnan111.37
Zhongmin Liang210.36
Kulwinder Singh Parmar351.76
Kirti Soni410.36
Ozgur Kisi515021.04