Title
Combined PV Power and Load Prediction for Building-Level Energy Management Applications
Abstract
In order to successfully integrate renewable energy technologies, the requirements of local energy management systems are becoming increasingly complex, as is the sector integration of electricity, heat and transportation. To address this, this study investigated the combination of machine learning-based PV power and load demand prediction approaches to forecast residual load at the building level. The forecast accuracy, seasonal dependencies and the effects of single forecasts on the residual load were evaluated by means of three different metrics, namely: mean absolute error (MAE), root-mean-square error (RMSE) and the mean absolute scaled error (MASE). The applicability of the combined forecast was tested via a case study of integrated battery-electric vehicles and a PV system in an existing commercial building. The results show how the residual load forecast can help schedule grid-friendly charging demand and optimize PV self-consumption.
Year
DOI
Venue
2020
10.1109/EVER48776.2020.9243026
2020 Fifteenth International Conference on Ecological Vehicles and Renewable Energies (EVER)
Keywords
DocType
ISBN
PV power prediction,load demand prediction,residual load prediction,battery-electric vehicles,forecast-based load management,machine learning,neural networks,long short-term memory,building-level load management,behind the meter
Conference
978-1-7281-5642-2
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
0
0.34
0
Authors
6