Title
Quantifying Ignorance In Individual-Level Causal-Effect Estimates Under Hidden Confounding
Abstract
We study the problem of learning conditional average treatment effects (CATE) from high-dimensional, observational data with unobserved confounders. Unobserved confounders introduce ignorance-a level of unidentifiability-about an individual's response to treatment by inducing bias in CATE estimates. We present a new parametric interval estimator suited for high-dimensional data, that estimates a range of possible CAFE values when given a predefined bound on the level of hidden confounding. Further, previous interval estimators do not account for ignorance about the CAFE associated with samples that may be underrepresented in the original study, or samples that violate the overlap assumption. Our interval estimator also incorporates model uncertainty so that practitioners can be made aware of such out-of-distribution data. We prove that our estimator converges to tight bounds on CATE when there may be unobserved confounding and assess it using semi-synthetic, high-dimensional datasets.
Year
Venue
DocType
2021
INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MACHINE LEARNING, VOL 139
Conference
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
139
2640-3498
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
0
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Andrew Jesson152.53
Sören Mindermann212.38
Gal, Yarin366537.30
Uri Shalit4115.26