Title
Improving Influenza Surveillance Based On Multi-Granularity Deep Spatiotemporal Neural Network
Abstract
Influenza is a common respiratory disease that can cause human illness and death. Timely and accurate prediction of disease risk is of great importance for public health management and prevention. The influenza data belong to typical spatiotemporal data in that influenza transmission is influenced by regional and temporal interactions. Many existing methods only use the historical time series information for prediction, which ignores the effect of spatial correlations of neighboring regions and temporal correlations of different time periods. Mining spatiotemporal information for risk prediction is a significant and challenging issue. In this paper, we propose a new end-to-end spatiotemporal deep neural network structure for influenza risk prediction. The proposed model mainly consists of two parts. The first stage is the spatiotemporal feature extraction stage where two-stream convolutional and recurrent neural networks are constructed to extract the different regions and time granularity information. Then, a dynamically parametric-based fusion method is adopted to integrate the twostream features and making predictions. In our work, we demonstrate that our method, tested on two influenza-like illness (ILI) datasets (US-HHS and SZ-HIC), achieved the best performance across all evaluation metrics. The results imply that our method has outstanding performance for spatiotemporal feature extraction and enables accurate predictions compared to other well-known influenza forecasting models.
Year
DOI
Venue
2021
10.1016/j.compbiomed.2021.104482
COMPUTERS IN BIOLOGY AND MEDICINE
Keywords
DocType
Volume
Epidemic, Influenza risk prediction, Deep learning, Spatiotemporal neural network, Multi-granularity features
Journal
134
ISSN
Citations 
PageRank 
0010-4825
0
0.34
References 
Authors
0
5
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Ruxin Wang122818.13
Hongyan Wu200.68
Yongsheng Wu322.38
Jing Zheng400.34
Ye Li501.01