Title
Fine-Tuning the Odds in Bayesian Networks
Abstract
This paper proposes new analysis techniques for Bayes networks in which conditional probability tables (CPTs) may contain symbolic variables. The key idea is to exploit scalable and powerful techniques for synthesis problems in parametric Markov chains. Our techniques are applicable to arbitrarily many, possibly dependent, parameters that may occur in multiple CPTs. This lifts the severe restrictions on parameters, e.g., by restricting the number of parametrized CPTs to one or two, or by avoiding parameter dependencies between several CPTs, in existing works for parametric Bayes networks (pBNs). We describe how our techniques can be used for various pBN synthesis problems studied in the literature such as computing sensitivity functions (and values), simple and difference parameter tuning, ratio parameter tuning, and minimal change tuning. Experiments on several benchmarks show that our prototypical tool built on top of the probabilistic model checker Storm can handle several hundreds of parameters.
Year
DOI
Venue
2021
10.1007/978-3-030-86772-0_20
SYMBOLIC AND QUANTITATIVE APPROACHES TO REASONING WITH UNCERTAINTY, ECSQARU 2021
DocType
Volume
ISSN
Conference
12897
0302-9743
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
0
0.34
24
Authors
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Bahare Salmani100.34
Joost-Pieter Katoen24444289.65