Title
Estimating The Key Parameter Of A Tropical Cyclone Wind Field Model Over The Northwest Pacific Ocean: A Comparison Between Neural Networks And Statistical Models
Abstract
Estimation of maximum wind speed associated with tropical cyclones (TCs) is crucial to evaluate potential wind destruction. The Holland B parameter is the key parameter of TC parametric wind field models. It plays an essential role in describing the radial distribution characteristics of a TC wind field and has been widely used in TC disaster risk evaluation. In this study, a backpropagation neural network (BPNN) is developed to estimate the Holland B parameter (B-s) in TC surface wind field model. The inputs of the BPNN include different combinations of TC minimum center pressure difference (Delta p), latitude, radius of maximum wind speed, translation speed and intensity change rate from the best-track data of the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC). We find that the BPNN exhibits the best performance when only inputting TC central pressure difference. The B-s estimated from BPNN are compared with those calculated from previous statistical models. Results indicate that the proposed BPNN can describe well the nonlinear relation between B-s and Delta p. It is also found that the combination of BPNN and Holland's wind pressure model can significantly improve the maximum wind speed underestimation and overestimation of the two existing wind pressure models (AH77 and KZ07) for super typhoons.
Year
DOI
Venue
2021
10.3390/rs13142653
REMOTE SENSING
Keywords
DocType
Volume
tropical cyclone, surface wind field, Holland B parameter, neural network, statistical model
Journal
13
Issue
Citations 
PageRank 
14
0
0.34
References 
Authors
0
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Ziyao Sun100.34
Biao Zhang29723.66
Jie Tang300.68