Title
Structural break-aware pairs trading strategy using deep reinforcement learning
Abstract
Pairs trading is an effective statistical arbitrage strategy considering the spread of paired stocks in a stable cointegration relationship. Nevertheless, rapid market changes may break the relationship (namely structural break), which further leads to tremendous loss in intraday trading. In this paper, we design a two-phase pairs trading strategy optimization framework, namely structural break-aware pairs trading strategy (SAPT), by leveraging machine learning techniques. Phase one is a hybrid model extracting frequency- and time-domain features to detect structural breaks. Phase two optimizes pairs trading strategy by sensing important risks, including structural breaks and market-closing risks, with a novel reinforcement learning model. In addition, the transaction cost is factored in a cost-aware objective to avoid significant reduction of profitability. Through large-scale experiments in real Taiwan stock market datasets, SAPT outperforms the state-of-the-art strategies by at least 456% and 934% in terms of profit and Sortino ratio, respectively.
Year
DOI
Venue
2022
10.1007/s11227-021-04013-x
The Journal of Supercomputing
Keywords
DocType
Volume
Pairs trading strategy, Structural break detection, Deep reinforcement learning, Continuous wavelet CNN
Journal
78
Issue
ISSN
Citations 
3
0920-8542
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
1
9
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Jing-You Lu100.34
Hsu-chao Lai223.74
Wen-yueh Shih342.12
Yi-Feng Chen400.34
Shen-Hang Huang500.34
Hao-Han Chang600.34
Jun-Zhe Wang700.34
Jiun-Long Huang800.68
Tian-Shyr Dai900.34