Title
Real-time Mortality Prediction Using MIMIC-IV ICU Data Via Boosted Nonparametric Hazards
Abstract
Electronic Health Record (EHR) systems provide critical, rich and valuable information at high frequency. One of the most exciting applications of EHR data is in developing a real-time mortality warning system with tools from survival analysis. However, most of the survival analysis methods used recently are based on (semi)parametric models using static covariates. These models do not take advantage of the information conveyed by the time-varying EHR data. In this work we present an application of a highly scalable survival analysis method, BoXHED 2.0 [1], to develop a real-time in-ICU mortality warning indicator based on the MIMIC IV data set [2]. Importantly, BoXHED can incorporate time-dependent covariates in a fully nonparametric manner and is backed by theory [3]. Our in-ICU mortality model achieves an AUC-PRC of 0.41 and AUC-ROC of 0.83 out of sample, demonstrating the benefit of real-time monitoring.
Year
DOI
Venue
2021
10.1109/BHI50953.2021.9508537
2021 IEEE EMBS International Conference on Biomedical and Health Informatics (BHI)
Keywords
DocType
ISSN
Electronic Health Record,Survival analysis,Hazard estimation,Nonparametric,Time-dependent covariates,MIMIC IV Dataset
Conference
2641-3590
ISBN
Citations 
PageRank 
978-1-6654-4770-6
0
0.34
References 
Authors
0
5
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Zhale Nowroozilarki100.34
Arash Pakbin201.35
James Royalty300.34
Donald K K Lee400.68
Bobak J. Mortazavi502.70