Title
Bayesian Optimization for Cascade-Type Multistage Processes.
Abstract
Complex processes in science and engineering are often formulated as multistage decision-making problems. In this letter, we consider a cascade process, a type of multistage decision-making process. This is a multistage process in which the output of one stage is used as an input for the subsequent stage. When the cost of each stage is expensive, it is difficult to search for the optimal controllable parameters for each stage exhaustively. To address this problem, we formulate the optimization of the cascade process as an extension of the Bayesian optimization framework and propose two types of acquisition functions based on credible intervals and expected improvement. We investigate the theoretical properties of the proposed acquisition functions and demonstrate their effectiveness through numerical experiments. In addition, we consider suspension setting, an extension in which we are allowed to suspend the cascade process at the middle of the multistage decision-making process that often arises in practical problems. We apply the proposed method in a test problem involving a solar cell simulator, the motivation for this study.
Year
DOI
Venue
2022
10.1162/neco_a_01550
Neural Computation
DocType
Volume
Issue
Journal
34
12
ISSN
Citations 
PageRank 
0899-7667
0
0.34
References 
Authors
0
9
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Shunya Kusakawa100.34
Shion Takeno202.37
Yu Inatsu303.04
Kentaro Kutsukake400.68
Shogo Iwazaki500.34
Takashi Nakano6142.20
Toru Ujihara700.34
Masayuki Karasuyama814115.89
Ichiro Takeuchi913223.25