Title | ||
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A Flexible Smoother Adapted to Censored Data With Outliers and Its Application to SARS-CoV-2 Monitoring in Wastewater |
Abstract | ||
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A sentinel network, Obepine, has been designed to monitor SARS-CoV-2 viral load in wastewaters arriving at wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) in France as an indirect macro-epidemiological parameter. The sources of uncertainty in such a monitoring system are numerous, and the concentration measurements it provides are left-censored and contain outliers, which biases the results of usual smoothing methods. Hence, the need for an adapted pre-processing in order to evaluate the real daily amount of viruses arriving at each WWTP. We propose a method based on an auto-regressive model adapted to censored data with outliers. Inference and prediction are produced via a discretized smoother which makes it a very flexible tool. This method is both validated on simulations and real data from Obepine. The resulting smoothed signal shows a good correlation with other epidemiological indicators and is currently used by Obepine to provide an estimate of virus circulation over the watersheds corresponding to about 200 WWTPs. |
Year | DOI | Venue |
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2022 | 10.3389/fams.2022.836349 | FRONTIERS IN APPLIED MATHEMATICS AND STATISTICS |
Keywords | DocType | Volume |
measurement error, smoothing algorithm, outliers, censored data, SARS-CoV-2, autoregressive model | Journal | 8 |
Citations | PageRank | References |
0 | 0.34 | 0 |
Authors | ||
9 |
Name | Order | Citations | PageRank |
---|---|---|---|
Marie Courbariaux | 1 | 0 | 0.34 |
Nicolas Cluzel | 2 | 0 | 0.34 |
Siyun Wang | 3 | 0 | 0.34 |
Vincent Maréchal | 4 | 0 | 0.34 |
Laurent Moulin | 5 | 0 | 0.34 |
Sébastien Wurtzer | 6 | 0 | 0.34 |
Jean-Marie Mouchel | 7 | 0 | 0.34 |
Yvon Maday | 8 | 0 | 0.34 |
Grégory Nuel | 9 | 0 | 0.34 |