Title
A New Cumulative Anomaly-Based Model for the Detection of Heavy Precipitation Using GNSS-Derived Tropospheric Products
Abstract
In recent years, tropospheric products obtained from ground-based global navigation satellite system (GNSS) measurements, especially the zenith total delay (ZTD) and precipitable water vapor (PWV) estimates, have advanced their usages in meteorological applications such as the detection of precipitation events. Generally, a cumulative anomaly (CA) time series of any atmospheric variable, which represents the long-term departure of the variable from its & x201C;normal & x201D; cycle, is widely used for quantitatively estimating the variable & x2019;s variations in response to a weather event. In this study, a new cumulative anomaly-based model (NCAM) containing 14 variables, including not only PWV and ZTD values but also their respective six types of derivatives, for detecting heavy precipitation was developed. The 6-h CA time series of the variables were calculated based on the data of hourly precipitation records and time series of ZTD and PWV collected at the co-located HKSC & x2013;King & x2019;s Park (KP) stations over the eight-year period 2010 & x2013;2017. The model was evaluated using the 14 variables & x2019; CA time series to detect heavy precipitation events happened in the summer months over the period 2018 & x2013;2019, and precipitation records in the same period were used as the reference. Results demonstrated that 99.1 & x0025; of heavy precipitation was correctly detected by the NCAM with a lead time of 2.87 h, and the false alarm ratio (FAR) score resulting from the model was reduced to 22.4 & x0025;. In addition, two case studies were also conducted to verify the effectiveness of the NCAM. These results all provide a promising direction for the application of using the CA time series of GNSS tropospheric products to the detection of heavy precipitation events.
Year
DOI
Venue
2022
10.1109/TGRS.2021.3137014
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON GEOSCIENCE AND REMOTE SENSING
Keywords
DocType
Volume
Global navigation satellite system, Time series analysis, Atmospheric modeling, Meteorology, Predictive models, Numerical models, Delays, Cumulative anomaly (CA), global navigation satellite system (GNSS), precipitable water vapor (PWV), precipitation prediction, zenith total delay (ZTD)
Journal
60
ISSN
Citations 
PageRank 
0196-2892
0
0.34
References 
Authors
0
9
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Haobo Li100.68
Xiaoming Wang200.68
Suelynn Choy300.34
Suqin Wu402.03
Chenhui Jiang500.68
Jinglei Zhang600.34
Cong Qiu700.68
Li Chen8532.61
Kefei Zhang902.03