Title
Recurrent Neural Network-Augmented Locally Adaptive Interpretable Regression for Multivariate Time-Series Forecasting
Abstract
Explaining dynamic relationships between input and output variables is one of the most important issues in time dependent domains such as economic, finance and so on. In this work, we propose a novel locally adaptive interpretable deep learning architecture that is augmented by recurrent neural networks to provide model explainability and high predictive accuracy for time-series data. The proposed model relies on two key aspects. First, the base model should be a simple interpretable model. In this step, we obtain our base model using a simple linear regression and statistical test. Second, we use recurrent neural networks to re-parameterize our base model to make the regression coefficients adaptable for each time step. Our experimental results on public benchmark datasets showed that our model not only achieves better predictive performance than the state-of-the-art baselines, but also discovers the dynamic relationship between input and output variables.
Year
DOI
Venue
2022
10.1109/ACCESS.2022.3145951
IEEE ACCESS
Keywords
DocType
Volume
Predictive models, Linear regression, Adaptation models, Forecasting, Data models, Input variables, Mathematical models, Explainable AI, linear regression, recurrent neural network, time-series forecasting
Journal
10
ISSN
Citations 
PageRank 
2169-3536
0
0.34
References 
Authors
0
6
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Lkhagvadorj Munkhdalai112.03
Tsendsuren Munkhdalai216913.49
Van-Huy Pham300.34
Meijing Li400.34
Keun Ho Ryu588385.61
Nipon Theera-umpon618430.59