Title
Optimal employee retention when inferring unknown learning curves
Abstract
This paper formulates an employer's hiring and retention decisions as an infinite-armed bandit problem and characterizes the structure of optimal hiring and retention policies. We develop approximations that allow us to explicitly calculate these policies and to evaluate their benefit. The solution involves a balance of two types of learning: the learning that reflects the improvement in performance of employees as they gain experience, and the Bayesian learning of employers as they infer properties of employees' abilities to inform the decision of whether to retain or replace employees. Numerical experiments with Monte Carlo simulation suggest that the gains to active screening and monitoring of employees can be substantial.
Year
DOI
Venue
2010
10.1109/WSC.2010.5679074
Winter Simulation Conference
Keywords
Field
DocType
personnel,numerical experiment,belief networks,monte carlo simulation,production engineering computing,inference mechanisms,learning (artificial intelligence),retention decision,inferring unknown,infinite-armed bandit problem,bayesian learning,monte carlo methods,optimal employee retention,employment,retention policy,hiring policy,unknown learning curve inference,optimal hiring,active screening,learning curve,learning artificial intelligence,mathematical model,indexes,artificial neural networks
Monte Carlo method,Bayesian inference,Simulation,Computer science,Artificial intelligence,Artificial neural network,Learning curve,Machine learning,Employee retention
Conference
ISSN
ISBN
Citations 
0891-7736
978-1-4244-9866-6
3
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.41
5
3
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Alessandro Arlotto1195.19
Noah Gans261366.60
Stephen E. Chick31127152.40