Title
Characterisation of linear predictability and non-stationarity of subcutaneous glucose profiles
Abstract
Continuous glucose monitoring is increasingly used in the management of diabetes. Subcutaneous glucose profiles are characterised by a strong non-stationarity, which limits the application of correlation-spectral analysis. We derived an index of linear predictability by calculating the autocorrelation function of time series increments and applied detrended fluctuation analysis to assess the non-stationarity of the profiles. Time series from volunteers with both type 1 and type 2 diabetes and from control subjects were analysed. The results suggest that in control subjects, blood glucose variation is relatively uncorrelated, and this variation could be modelled as a random walk with no retention of 'memory' of previous values. In diabetes, variation is both greater and smoother, with retention of inter-dependence between neighbouring values. Essential components for adequate longer term prediction were identified via a decomposition of time series into a slow trend and responses to external stimuli. Implications for diabetes management are discussed.
Year
DOI
Venue
2013
10.1016/j.cmpb.2012.11.009
Computer Methods and Programs in Biomedicine
Keywords
Field
DocType
autocorrelation,diabetes mellitus,detrended fluctuation analysis
Diabetes mellitus,Predictability,Random walk,Computer science,Type 2 diabetes,Diabetes management,Decomposition of time series,Detrended fluctuation analysis,Statistics,Autocorrelation
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
110
3
0169-2607
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
4
0.64
6
Authors
5
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
N. A. Khovanova1232.72
I. A. Khovanov253.11
L. Sbano381.18
F. Griffiths440.64
T. A. Holt540.64