Title
Time Series Prediction Based on Gene Expression Programming
Abstract
Two novel methods for Time Series Prediction based on GEP (Gene Expression Programming). The main contributions include: (1) GEP-Sliding Window Prediction Method (GEP-SWPM) to mine the relationship between future and historical data directly. (2) GEP-Differential Equation Prediction Method (GEP-DEPM) to mine ordinary differential equations from training data, and predict future trends based on specified initial conditions. (3) A brand new equation mining method, called Differential by Microscope Interpolation (DMI) that boosts the efficiency of our methods. (4) A new, simple and effective GEP-constants generation method called Meta-Constants (MC) is proposed. (5) It is proved that a minimum expression discovered by GEP-MC method with error not exceeding delta/2 uses at most log(3)(2L/delta) operators and the problem to find delta-accurate expression with fewer operators is NP-hard. Extensive experiments on real data sets for sun spot prediction show that the performance of the new method is 20-900 times higher than existing algorithms.
Year
DOI
Venue
2004
10.1007/978-3-540-27772-9_7
ADVANCES IN WEB-AGE INFORMATION MANAGEMENT: PROCEEDINGS
Keywords
Field
DocType
gene expression programming,data mining,time series prediction,sun spot prediction,differential equation
Differential equation,Time series,Gene expression programming,Sliding window protocol,Ordinary differential equation,Computer science,Interpolation,Algorithm,Operator (computer programming),Initial value problem
Conference
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
3129
0302-9743
41
PageRank 
References 
Authors
2.10
5
5
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Jie Zuo111115.62
Changjie Tang248362.75
Chuan Li3495.32
Chang-an Yuan4859.88
An-Long Chen5614.65