Name
Abstract | ||
|---|---|---|
We organized for WCCI 2008 a challenge to evaluate causal modeling techniques, focusing on predicting the efiect of \interventions" performed by an external agent. Examples of that problem are found in the medical domain to predict the efiect of a drug prior to administering it, or in econometrics to predict the efiect of a new policy prior to issuing it. We concentrate on a given target variable to be predicted (e.g., health status of a patient) from a number of candidate predictive variables or \features" (e.g., risk factors in the medical domain). Under interventions, variable predictive power and causality are tied together. For instance, both smoking and coughing may be predictive of lung cancer (the target) in the absence of external intervention; however, prohibiting smoking (a possible cause) may prevent lung cancer, but administering a cough medicine to stop coughing (a possible consequence) would not. We propose four tasks from various application domains, each dataset including a training set drawn from a \natural" distribution and three test sets: one from the same distribution as the training set and two corresponding to data drawn when an external agent is manipulating certain variables. The goal is to predict a binary target variable, whose values on test data are withheld. The participants were asked to provide predictions of the target variable on test data and the list of variables (features) used to make predictions. The challenge platform remains open for post-challenge submissions and the organization of other events is under way (see http://clopinet.com/causality). |
Year | Venue | Keywords |
|---|---|---|
2008 | WCCI Causation and Prediction Challenge | manipulation.,feature selection,inter- vention,challenge,causal discovery,causality,competition,causal models,risk factors |
Field | DocType | Volume |
Data mining,Psychological intervention,Causality,Predictive power,Predictive variables,Causation,Cough medicine,Test data,Medicine,Causal model | Journal | 3 |
Citations | PageRank | References |
31 | 1.87 | 14 |
Authors | ||
7 | ||
Name | Order | Citations | PageRank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Isabelle Guyon | 1 | 11033 | 1544.34 |
| Gregory F. Cooper | 2 | 3464 | 580.16 |
| Gregory F. Cooper | 3 | 3464 | 580.16 |
| andre elisseeff | 4 | 5865 | 337.67 |
| Jean-Philippe Pellet | 5 | 120 | 6.79 |
| Peter Spirtes | 6 | 616 | 101.07 |
| Alexander Statnikov | 7 | 1343 | 73.38 |