Title
Virality Prediction And Community Structure In Social Networks
Abstract
How does network structure affect diffusion? Recent studies suggest that the answer depends on the type of contagion. Complex contagions, unlike infectious diseases (simple contagions), are affected by social reinforcement and homophily. Hence, the spread within highly clustered communities is enhanced, while diffusion across communities is hampered. A common hypothesis is that memes and behaviors are complex contagions. We show that, while most memes indeed spread like complex contagions, a few viral memes spread across many communities, like diseases. We demonstrate that the future popularity of a meme can be predicted by quantifying its early spreading pattern in terms of community concentration. The more communities a meme permeates, the more viral it is. We present a practical method to translate data about community structure into predictive knowledge about what information will spread widely. This connection contributes to our understanding in computational social science, social media analytics, and marketing applications.
Year
DOI
Venue
2013
10.1038/srep02522
SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
Keywords
Field
DocType
interpersonal relations,computer simulation,social behavior,social networking
Data science,Social media analytics,Social network,Homophily,Sociology,Interpersonal relationship,Popularity,Computational sociology,Artificial intelligence,Information Dissemination,Social support
Journal
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
3
2045-2322
127
PageRank 
References 
Authors
3.69
16
3
Search Limit
100127
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Lilian Weng127211.70
Filippo Menczer23874268.67
Yong-Yeol Ahn32124138.24