Title
Multipolicy decision-making for autonomous driving via changepoint-based behavior prediction: Theory and experiment.
Abstract
This paper reports on an integrated inference and decision-making approach for autonomous driving that models vehicle behavior for both our vehicle and nearby vehicles as a discrete set of closed-loop policies. Each policy captures a distinct high-level behavior and intention, such as driving along a lane or turning at an intersection. We first employ Bayesian changepoint detection on the observed history of nearby cars to estimate the distribution over potential policies that each nearby car might be executing. We then sample policy assignments from these distributions to obtain high-likelihood actions for each participating vehicle, and perform closed-loop forward simulation to predict the outcome for each sampled policy assignment. After evaluating these predicted outcomes, we execute the policy with the maximum expected reward value. We validate behavioral prediction and decision-making using simulated and real-world experiments.
Year
DOI
Venue
2017
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10514-017-9619-z
Auton. Robots
Keywords
Field
DocType
Robotics,Autonomous driving
Simulation,Inference,Computer science,Artificial intelligence,Robotics,Bayesian probability
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
41
6
0929-5593
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
9
0.67
33
Authors
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Enric Galceran123613.50
Alexander Cunningham2191.58
Ryan M. Eustice3122083.69
Edwin Olson495365.24