Paper Info
Title
Quantitative Methods of Strategic Planning Support: Defending the Front Line in Europe.
Abstract
The paper is devoted to a quantitative approach to support of strategic planning to control international conflicts. The MUT team, taking part in Polish-American "tabletop" games, has proposed a set of methods and tools to analyze possible moves to resolve a hypothetical conflict along a front line in northeastern Europe. Both the model and some experimental results are presented in the paper. Decision support was proposed as a set of statistical, optimization and simulation tools for conflict scenario preparation and analysis. The range of quantitative methods and the choice of appropriate research tools in the experiments are described. The strategic game was divided into two phases: D1 - escalation of the conflict in the B states - determination of effectiveness measures, such as the opponent's estimation of the probability that the conflict will escalate (Bayesian Network Model); D2 - conventional conflict: Evaluation of effectiveness measures on our side (evaluation of force potential and structure required, simulation analysis of combat clashes). The presentation below focuses on D1.
Year
DOI
Venue
2017
10.1007/978-3-319-67229-8_26
INFORMATION SYSTEMS ARCHITECTURE AND TECHNOLOGY, PT II
Keywords
Field
DocType
Decision support,Cast logic,Strategic planning
Front line,Computer science,Decision support system,Operations research,Bayesian network,Adversary,Strategic planning,Management science
Conference
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
656
2194-5357
0
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.34
4
4
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Andrzej Najgebauer185.52
Ryszard Antkiewicz243.31
Dariusz Pierzchała384.13
Jaroslaw Rulka422.19