Title
Parameter inference for non-repairable multi-state system reliability models by multi-level observation sequences.
Abstract
Multi-state system reliability theory has received considerable attention in recent years, as it is able to characterize the multi-state nature and complicated deterioration process of systems in a finer fashion than that of binary-state system models. Parameter inference for multi-state system reliability models, which is a task that precedes reliability evaluation and optimization, is an interesting topic to be investigated. In this paper, a new parameter inference method, which aggregates observation sequences from multiple levels of a system, is developed. The proposed inference method generally consists of two stages: (1) compute the sequences of the posterior state probability distributions of units based on multi-level observation sequences by dynamic Bayesian network models and (2) estimate the unknown transition probabilities of units by converting the sequences of posterior state probability distributions into a least squares problem. Two illustrative examples, together with a set of comparative studies, are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed method.
Year
DOI
Venue
2017
10.1016/j.ress.2016.11.019
Reliability Engineering & System Safety
Keywords
Field
DocType
MSS,BN,DBN,TM,SPSPD,CPT,DAG
Least squares,Frequentist inference,Inference,Fiducial inference,Bayesian network,Statistics,Reliability model,Mathematics,Dynamic Bayesian network,Reliability theory
Journal
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
166
0951-8320
15
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.62
22
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Tao Jiang121144.26
Yu Liu219019.09