Title | ||
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Parameter inference for non-repairable multi-state system reliability models by multi-level observation sequences. |
Abstract | ||
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Multi-state system reliability theory has received considerable attention in recent years, as it is able to characterize the multi-state nature and complicated deterioration process of systems in a finer fashion than that of binary-state system models. Parameter inference for multi-state system reliability models, which is a task that precedes reliability evaluation and optimization, is an interesting topic to be investigated. In this paper, a new parameter inference method, which aggregates observation sequences from multiple levels of a system, is developed. The proposed inference method generally consists of two stages: (1) compute the sequences of the posterior state probability distributions of units based on multi-level observation sequences by dynamic Bayesian network models and (2) estimate the unknown transition probabilities of units by converting the sequences of posterior state probability distributions into a least squares problem. Two illustrative examples, together with a set of comparative studies, are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed method. |
Year | DOI | Venue |
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2017 | 10.1016/j.ress.2016.11.019 | Reliability Engineering & System Safety |
Keywords | Field | DocType |
MSS,BN,DBN,TM,SPSPD,CPT,DAG | Least squares,Frequentist inference,Inference,Fiducial inference,Bayesian network,Statistics,Reliability model,Mathematics,Dynamic Bayesian network,Reliability theory | Journal |
Volume | ISSN | Citations |
166 | 0951-8320 | 15 |
PageRank | References | Authors |
0.62 | 22 | 2 |