Title
Targeting the uncertainty of predictions at patient-level using an ensemble of classifiers coupled with calibration methods, Venn-ABERS, and Conformal Predictors: A case study in AD.
Abstract
•Providing a measure of the uncertainty of predictions at patient-level is paramount to guide clinicians in risk-sensitive decisions.•We compared calibration methods (Platt Scaling and Isotonic Regression), Conformal Predictors, and Venn-ABERS predictors on assessing the uncertainty of predictions at patient-level, using different classifiers.•We propose an ensemble-based model where calibrated predictions from multiple pairs (classifier, uncertainty method) are combined to predict whether a given MCI patient will convert to AD.
Year
DOI
Venue
2020
10.1016/j.jbi.2019.103350
Journal of Biomedical Informatics
Keywords
Field
DocType
Prognostic prediction,Mild cognitive impairment,Alzheimer’s disease,Uncertainty at patient-level,Venn-ABERS,Conformal prediction
Venn diagram,Data mining,Computer science,Isotonic regression,Decision support system,Ground truth,Artificial intelligence,Probabilistic logic,Platt scaling,Classifier (linguistics),Machine learning,Calibration
Journal
Volume
ISSN
Citations 
101
1532-0464
2
PageRank 
References 
Authors
0.36
0
5
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Telma Pereira172.53
Sandra Cardoso251.40
Manuela Guerreiro320.36
Alexandre de Mendonça472.13
Sara C. Madeira5124266.91